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Red64
337313.3
253421.7
88818.8
Blue56
242112.2
61114.7
298817.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138203050606456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.72.8
19.522.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End5.8
red by 4.3
2988
#13
17.41.9
13.815.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.5
Second
888
#20
18.82.8
10.913.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End4.9
red by 4.1
611
#30
14.71.9
11.813.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
3373
#16
13.32.8
8.811.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.7
red by 1.1
2421
#38
12.21.9
10.312.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed