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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383830323436404244464031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#30
14.70.4
13.714.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 5.5
1895
#19
20.20.6
17.216.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End4.4
Second
339
#6
14.60.4
13.914.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End3.8
blue by 0.2
6543
#31
14.80.5
12.011.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
1123
#27
9.50.4
8.58.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
red by 0.1
620
#36
9.40.5
6.86.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed