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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493110204060705624

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#1
24.80.9
20.321.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End8.5
red by 12.6
3941
#34
12.20.6
12.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Second
18.91.0
15.616.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End4.0
red by 9.4
1123
#27
9.50.5
8.98.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Third
623
#23
13.11.0
10.811.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 5.7
2961
#18
7.40.6
8.37.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed