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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344420304050606348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#1
24.81.8
21.223.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End8.5
red by 5.3
2199
#15
19.40.1
18.318.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End6.9
Second
620
#36
9.41.8
6.78.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 2.8
2421
#38
12.20.1
11.511.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
4464
#33
4.91.8
4.56.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 5.4
6584
#26
10.20.1
11.611.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed