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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42472030405060705059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#22
15.30.8
14.014.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End2.5
blue by 3.6
18.90.9
17.518.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End4.0
Second
611
#30
14.70.9
13.614.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 1.0
1731
#32Sur
15.70.9
13.514.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
3373
#16Sur
13.30.7
12.613.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.7
blue by 1.7
2028
#11
15.11.0
13.414.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed