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Red58
141322.4
210621.2
554618.1
Blue50
202818.8
335918.8
206817.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64593040507080905850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
22.122.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End5.0
red by 3.6
2028
#10
18.80.1
19.219.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End4.3
Second
21.20.1
20.920.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End7.2
red by 2.4
18.80.1
19.219.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End6.2
Third
5546
#22
18.10.1
17.817.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 0.7
2068
#19
17.50.1
17.917.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End5.8