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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4432010204050607080569

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#10
18.81.0
14.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End4.3
red by 4.1
2890
#24
14.72.3
12.610.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Second
122
#20
18.60.9
16.017.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End3.3
red by 8.5
6504
#33
10.11.4
12.210.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End3.4
Third
401
#13
17.51.6
11.413.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End6.6
red by 11.7
617
#36DQ
5.81.4
5.03.6
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed