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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35371020304050602030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#10
18.80.9
15.614.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End4.3
red by 2.5
1908
#18
16.30.3
15.214.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Second
5279
#31
15.31.5
13.912.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 0.8
6882
#14
16.00.3
10.810.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Third
617
#36DQ
5.80.9
3.62.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 5.6
6189
#23
11.40.3
9.28.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed