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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53472030405060707033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.3
22.223.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End3.9
red by 7.5
122
#20
18.60.8
17.616.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Second
190
#1
21.12.2
13.115.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End7.8
red by 2.5
1793
#16
18.50.8
15.815.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
18.81.3
15.016.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End6.2
red by 8.6
6504
#33
10.10.8
11.410.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed