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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363902060802533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3361
#21
16.70.6
15.615.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 4.4
190
#1
21.10.4
10.610.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End7.8
Second
1080
#27
12.40.7
12.712.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End3.3
blue by 6.6
3072
#28
19.00.4
13.613.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End6.4
Third
617
#36
5.80.6
5.65.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 5.5
6194
#37DQ
11.30.4
12.712.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned