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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4449102030607080904160

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3072
#28
19.00.0
12.412.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End6.4
blue by 7.2
26.10.9
23.524.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Second
5546
#22
18.10.0
15.015.0
Auto2.8
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 2.5
977
#12
20.70.9
20.521.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.2
Third
3136
#26
11.90.0
13.813.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End2.5
red by 6.1
617
#36
5.80.9
2.73.6
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed