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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432001030405060704620

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.3
22.422.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 16.7
4286
#30
8.50.0
9.29.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Second
190
#1
21.10.4
16.216.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End7.8
red by 13.3
5954
#34
7.80.1
7.27.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Third
7330
#35
5.30.3
2.52.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End1.1
blue by 0.6
617
#36
5.80.0
2.92.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed