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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51492030406070804951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.1
17.717.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End6.2
blue by 2.3
190
#1
21.10.3
17.317.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End7.8
Second
1908
#18
16.30.1
17.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 1.2
2068
#19
17.50.4
16.316.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Third
5279
#31
15.30.1
12.913.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 3.3
3136
#26
11.90.3
12.913.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsMissed