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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48653040607080903346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3361
#21
16.70.9
17.917.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 9.4
26.01.2
25.324.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End8.1
Second
1908
#18
16.30.9
17.516.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 6.8
422
#15
23.11.2
23.822.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
6504
#33
10.10.9
10.59.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End3.4
blue by 2.0
4466
#29
12.11.5
12.310.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed