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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574120305070804931

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#16
18.50.4
19.218.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 3.8
2890
#24
14.71.5
16.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Second
5546
#22
18.10.4
18.217.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 6.2
3136
#26
11.91.2
13.312.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
3361
#21
16.70.4
17.016.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 8.2
4286
#30
8.51.2
9.78.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed