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Red46
289015.7
12214.8
335918.5
Blue90
595715.5
40129.9
161029.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5272204060801001204690

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3359
#26
18.50.2
20.420.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End4.9
blue by 11.4
401
#7
29.91.4
29.831.2
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End5.0
Second
2890
#14
15.70.2
15.114.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 13.7
29.41.4
24.926.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End3.4
Third
122
#22
14.80.2
13.313.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 0.7
5957
#17
15.51.4
13.815.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed36%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed