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Red51
188523.6
6174.9
90014.6
Blue63
289015.7
595011.2
161029.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41552060805163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.8
21.422.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End5.2
blue by 5.8
29.40.8
26.327.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End3.4
Second
900
#23
14.60.8
13.514.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End4.1
blue by 1.1
2890
#14
15.70.8
14.915.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Third
617
#31
4.90.8
4.45.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 6.3
5950
#25
11.20.8
10.411.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed