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Red50
34630.9
19154.0
12214.8
Blue74
159923.5
210619.3
83624.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472204060801005074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#8
30.90.1
33.533.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.4
End8.7
red by 6.3
836
#11
24.70.4
26.727.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End7.5
Second
122
#22
14.80.1
14.314.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 8.7
23.50.4
21.321.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
Third
1915
#16
4.00.1
3.33.2
Auto1.8
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 15.3
19.30.4
20.621.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned