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Red49
83624.7
34630.9
13897.6
Blue54
236317.1
554622.1
289015.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745840801004954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#8
30.91.6
33.431.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.4
End8.7
red by 8.8
22.10.1
21.621.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Second
836
#11
24.71.6
27.125.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End7.5
red by 7.5
2363
#15
17.10.1
18.118.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End4.4
Third
1389
#19
7.61.6
9.57.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 8.1
2890
#14
15.70.1
15.715.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned