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Red41
554622.1
19154.0
159923.5
Blue32
99909.9
289015.7
313610.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52330204060804132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.6
23.923.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
red by 7.8
2890
#14
15.70.0
15.115.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Second
22.10.6
21.020.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
red by 12.1
3136
#32
10.00.0
10.710.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
1915
#16
4.00.6
4.54.0
Auto1.8
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 5.9
9990
#12
9.90.1
5.65.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed