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Red64
491128.7
408923.4
65038.1
Blue41
209713.7
635016.7
292715.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63492040801006441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#10
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
red by 12.0
16.70.1
16.916.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Second
23.40.1
23.323.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
red by 7.7
2927
#21
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Third
6503
#20
8.10.1
7.98.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 5.6
2097
#18
13.70.1
13.813.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End2.7