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Red68
304914.6
204636.7
408923.4
Blue49
307014.1
491128.7
36847.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6652203040607080901006849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.2
37.337.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End9.3
red by 8.0
4911
#10
28.70.0
24.824.8
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
Second
23.40.2
17.117.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
red by 9.3
3070
#23
14.10.0
16.116.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
3049
#15
14.60.2
7.98.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End5.0
red by 6.9
3684
#28
7.80.0
8.18.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed