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Red58
635016.7
357420.9
292613.4
Blue50
32199.5
323710.9
413123.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5138102030607080905850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
19.019.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End8.4
blue by 2.3
4131
#12
23.20.9
20.621.5
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Second
16.70.5
15.516.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
red by 5.8
3237
#34
10.90.9
7.48.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
2926
#14
13.40.5
13.714.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.9
3219
#24
9.50.9
8.49.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed