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Red51
299028.9
209713.7
44618.5
Blue66
307014.1
131825.8
292613.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48550204060801005166

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.4
24.024.4
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 3.1
25.81.0
23.224.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Second
2097
#18
13.70.4
12.012.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 0.4
3070
#23
14.11.0
14.615.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
4461
#30
8.50.6
9.510.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 4.9
2926
#14
13.41.0
13.914.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned