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Red43
711813.9
37867.0
491128.7
Blue37
290721.9
307014.1
44618.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049404555604337

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#10
28.70.3
25.124.8
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
red by 6.8
21.90.6
20.419.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End4.3
Second
7118
#22
13.90.3
14.414.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.1
blue by 0.2
3070
#23
14.10.6
15.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
3786
#29
7.00.3
7.77.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End0.9
blue by 1.6
4461
#30
8.51.0
10.19.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed