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Red36
49224.9
457916.6
29068.6
Blue89
204636.7
36018.1
131825.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48812040601003689

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#11
24.90.8
21.821.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End7.8
blue by 11.8
36.70.8
38.939.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End9.3
Second
4579
#27
16.60.8
16.515.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 9.2
25.80.8
24.225.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Third
2906
#32
8.60.8
7.26.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.0
blue by 9.4
360
#8
18.10.8
13.514.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned