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Red52
457916.6
323710.9
131825.8
Blue62
290721.9
387616.3
408923.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52602040801005262

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
25.025.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
red by 2.4
23.40.3
20.020.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
Second
4579
#27
16.60.2
16.116.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 5.3
21.90.3
21.121.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End4.3
Third
3237
#34
10.90.2
8.68.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 5.4
3876
#17
16.30.3
16.116.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned