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Red52
292715.8
413123.2
44618.5
Blue84
49224.9
491815.4
209713.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4447102030406070805284

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#12
23.20.0
20.920.8
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
blue by 1.7
492
#11
24.91.8
22.224.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Second
2927
#21
15.80.0
11.911.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End2.7
red by 0.4
15.41.8
9.010.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End5.4
Third
4461
#30
8.50.0
9.39.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 5.2
2097
#18
13.71.8
13.615.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned