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Red25
36018.1
36847.8
290721.9
Blue67
413123.2
299028.9
339311.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49592040801002567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.4
21.420.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End4.3
blue by 6.9
28.90.7
24.925.6
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Second
360
#8
18.11.4
15.614.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End8.1
blue by 5.1
4131
#12
23.20.7
20.821.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Third
3684
#28
7.81.4
9.37.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 4.0
3393
#25
11.80.7
10.411.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned