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Red45
44618.5
29068.6
408923.4
Blue59
568310.7
593716.1
299028.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37540102030506070804559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.5
19.620.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
blue by 5.4
28.90.5
25.626.1
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Second
2906
#32
8.60.5
5.76.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.0
blue by 7.5
5937
#13
16.10.5
15.516.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End4.2
Third
4461
#30
8.50.8
9.210.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 2.2
5683
#33
10.70.5
10.410.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed