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Red32
36847.8
491815.4
323710.9
Blue15
387616.3
298013.9
44618.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304201020506070803215

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.2
12.012.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End5.4
blue by 1.0
3876
#17
16.31.6
16.514.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Second
3237
#34
10.90.2
8.99.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 3.0
2980
#26
13.91.6
12.811.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
3684
#28
7.80.2
7.88.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 0.8
4461
#30
8.52.3
10.07.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed