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Red68
413123.2
304914.6
36018.1
Blue56
568310.7
457916.6
491128.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5055204060801006856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#12
23.20.8
21.622.4
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
blue by 5.5
4911
#10
28.70.2
26.326.5
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
Second
360
#8
18.10.8
14.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End8.1
red by 1.5
4579
#27
16.60.2
15.315.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Third
3049
#15
14.60.8
11.312.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End5.0
red by 3.9
5683
#33
10.70.2
10.911.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed