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Red81
292613.4
299028.9
290721.9
Blue36
711813.9
298013.9
457916.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6443020801008136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.2
26.127.3
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 12.3
4579
#27
16.60.3
15.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Second
21.91.2
20.621.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End4.3
red by 8.0
2980
#26
13.90.3
11.110.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
2926
#14
13.41.2
13.714.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 0.5
7118
#22
13.90.3
14.113.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed