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Red62
209713.7
491128.7
323710.9
Blue74
568310.7
204636.7
49224.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52772040601006274

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#10
28.70.9
26.527.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
blue by 8.0
36.70.3
36.636.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End9.3
Second
2097
#18
13.70.9
13.013.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 11.2
492
#11
24.90.3
24.924.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Third
3237
#34
10.90.9
9.310.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 0.2
5683
#33
10.70.3
11.110.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned