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Red99
299028.9
204636.7
457916.6
Blue0
36018.1
357420.9
387616.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86580204080100120990

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.0
36.336.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End9.3
red by 15.8
3574
#6DQ
20.90.0
20.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End8.4
Second
28.90.0
28.528.5
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
red by 10.8
360
#8DQ
18.10.0
17.917.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End8.1
Third
4579
#27
16.60.0
16.216.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 0.3
3876
#17DQ
16.30.0
16.216.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End3.7