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Red56
94822.6
413123.2
307014.1
Blue62
491128.7
408923.4
65038.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64635055607075805662

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#12
23.20.1
23.223.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
blue by 5.5
4911
#10
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
Second
948
#16
22.60.1
22.722.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End4.6
blue by 0.8
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
Third
3070
#23
14.10.1
14.214.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 6.0
6503
#20
8.10.0
8.08.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.7