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Red58
297619.0
582723.1
209713.4
Blue63
241216.3
125816.8
558813.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594930407080905863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.0
23.223.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End9.0
red by 6.3
16.80.4
16.917.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Second
19.00.0
19.119.1
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 2.6
2412
#15
16.30.4
16.416.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
Third
2097
#26
13.40.0
13.513.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End3.4
red by 0.3
5588
#12
13.10.4
13.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.1