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Red38
290717.4
468110.6
69599.2
Blue47
357419.8
36848.1
445015.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364220304050603847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#14
17.42.1
14.712.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
blue by 2.4
3574
#20
19.80.8
13.314.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End5.1
Second
4681
#36
10.62.1
9.07.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
blue by 5.3
15.90.8
15.115.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
Third
6959
#37
9.22.1
9.97.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.6
red by 1.0
3684
#33
8.10.8
11.712.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned