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Red48
297619.0
491511.8
635013.5
Blue30
445015.9
413119.7
69599.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35411020305060704830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.01.7
12.814.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
blue by 0.7
4131
#22
19.71.0
15.214.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Second
6350
#13
13.51.7
11.112.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 2.4
15.91.0
15.914.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
Third
4915
#23
11.81.7
9.310.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.8
red by 2.6
6959
#37
9.21.0
7.96.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed