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Red42
593713.4
357419.8
33938.6
Blue45
125816.8
290717.4
413119.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424530354050554245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#20
19.80.9
14.213.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End5.1
red by 0.2
4131
#22
19.70.3
14.614.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Second
5937
#16
13.40.9
13.112.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.2
blue by 4.0
2907
#14
17.40.3
14.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Third
3393
#19DQ
8.60.9
12.811.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
blue by 8.2
16.80.3
13.313.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed