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Red50
593713.4
582723.1
189913.1
Blue30
445015.9
32188.8
406015.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373930354045505030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.6
10.912.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End9.0
red by 7.3
15.90.7
15.014.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
Second
5937
#16
13.41.6
10.412.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.2
blue by 1.6
4060
#25
15.00.7
10.39.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Third
1899
#11
13.11.6
14.115.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End4.1
red by 4.2
3218
#24
8.80.7
11.210.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed