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Red36
65037.3
290717.4
445015.9
Blue51
94819.8
32376.0
125816.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060803651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#14
17.40.2
16.616.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
blue by 2.4
948
#5
19.81.3
15.116.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Second
15.90.2
14.314.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
blue by 0.9
16.81.3
15.416.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Third
6503
#29
7.30.2
7.27.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
red by 1.3
3237
#35
6.01.3
5.46.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed