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Red54
491511.8
290717.4
241216.3
Blue40
29279.9
209713.4
189913.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4732010204060705440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#14
17.41.0
16.417.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
red by 4.0
2097
#26
13.41.0
10.511.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Second
2412
#15
16.31.0
16.417.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
red by 3.3
1899
#11
13.11.0
14.215.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End4.1
Third
4915
#23
11.81.0
12.013.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.8
red by 1.9
2927
#28
9.91.0
6.17.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed