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Red32
746110.3
545017.0
36848.1
Blue25
69599.2
255716.6
49189.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394420305060703225

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.9
14.413.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 0.5
2557
#27
16.61.9
16.915.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Second
7461
#21DQ
10.35.3
14.59.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End2.9
red by 0.7
4918
#31
9.51.9
13.011.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Third
3684
#33
8.10.9
12.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.6
End2.4
blue by 1.0
6959
#37
9.21.9
11.89.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed