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Red34
255716.6
129413.7
491511.8
Blue36
558813.1
49189.5
125816.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434730405060703436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#27
16.60.6
18.517.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
blue by 0.3
16.80.9
18.417.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Second
1294
#17
13.70.6
9.18.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 0.6
5588
#12
13.10.8
15.014.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
4915
#23
11.80.6
12.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.8
red by 2.2
4918
#31
9.50.8
11.010.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed