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Red64
368111.6
445015.9
297619.0
Blue42
209713.4
56811.3
290717.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060806442

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.8
17.818.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 1.6
2907
#14
17.40.2
16.316.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Second
15.90.8
15.216.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
red by 2.5
2097
#26
13.40.2
12.312.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
3681
#18
11.60.8
9.310.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End2.6
red by 0.3
568
#34
11.30.2
10.610.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed