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Red41
545017.0
593713.4
49189.5
Blue32
558813.1
209713.4
420511.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42410102030506070804132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.1
16.616.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 3.6
2097
#26
13.40.8
12.611.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Second
5937
#16
13.40.1
12.812.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.2
red by 0.3
5588
#12
13.10.8
13.712.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
4918
#31
9.50.1
10.210.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 2.1
4205
#10
11.60.8
12.311.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed