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Red42
29069.1
413119.7
36848.1
Blue50
545017.0
445015.9
255716.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38541020305060704250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#22
19.70.4
19.820.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End4.0
red by 2.7
17.00.3
16.716.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Second
2906
#32
9.10.4
8.69.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End2.2
blue by 7.5
2557
#27
16.60.3
17.417.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Third
3684
#33
8.10.4
7.78.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.6
End2.4
blue by 7.8
15.90.3
16.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed