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Red70
420511.6
32188.8
358814.9
Blue55
48816.5
297619.0
290717.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375610203040506070807055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.90.6
14.815.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 4.1
19.00.1
19.219.1
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Second
4205
#10
11.60.6
11.612.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.5
blue by 5.8
2907
#14
17.40.1
18.018.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Third
3218
#24
8.80.6
8.28.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 7.6
488
#30
16.50.1
16.015.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed