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Red60
430914.7
292819.3
298016.4
Blue35
29039.4
381215.9
326813.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51411020306070806035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.1
18.718.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.0
red by 3.4
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Second
2980
#18
16.40.1
15.815.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 3.0
3268
#13
13.40.1
13.513.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
4309
#11
14.70.1
14.114.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End4.5
red by 5.3
2903
#28
9.40.1
9.59.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8